Updates

Some updates on progress.

While incredibly detailed maps showing roads, buildings and rivers are available for most well resourced...

June 2017

Predicting sprayable structures using machine learning

While incredibly detailed maps showing roads, buildings and rivers are available for most well resourced countries, the same is not true for the less well resourced countries affected by malaria. OpenStreetMap, via the Humanitarian OpenStreetMap (www.hotosm.org) and Missing Maps projects (www.missingmaps.org), is helping to map some of the poorest places on Earth. In many countries, such as Swaziland, Botswana and Zimbabwe, there is nearly complete information on roads and buildings, providing a fantastic set of data to help plan malaria household intervention campaigns such as indoor residual spraying with insecticide, distribution of mosquito nets and mass drug administration. However, complete information relating to the building type is rare, making it impossible to distinguish residential from non-residential structures. Yet, this information is crucial for helping to plan and execute intervention campaigns targeted at households.

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The intervention targeting module is one of several modules currently under development. It is comprised...

April 2017

Intervention targeting

The intervention targeting module is one of several modules currently under development. It is comprised of 4 components designed to help guide planning, execution and monitoring of intervention campaigns for malaria elimination. Parts of the targeting module were used by NMCP in Swaziland to define priority localities by risk and historic data and produce printed maps for 2016 IRS season. Responding to feedback from users and partners, the module has since been modified to further enhance current process flows.

The Monitoring component is a dashboard which provides an overview of the current state of the intervention campaign. It allows users to visualize progress of targeting teams in near real time, as opposed to having to wait until the end of an intervention campaign for this information.

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Foci investigation was identified earlier on as one of the potential use cases for DiSARM....

November 2016

Developing foci mapper

Foci investigation was identified earlier on as one of the potential use cases for DiSARM. After our initial focus on IRS, we were invited to attend a National Foci Planning Meeting in Zimbabwe, Matabeleland South, together with other provinces focusing on the elimination stage of malaria. Where the Malaria program is focused on the control of malaria, the foci approach is not appropriate.

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While log-Gaussian Cox process models are one way to model individual case data, implementing them...

November 2016

Changed the model from LGCP to GAM

While log-Gaussian Cox process models are one way to model individual case data, implementing them in R-INLA can be somewhat fiddly, restricting the ability to automate. Parallel work looking at the use of generalized additive models (GAMs) for this problem showed very good results. Furthermore, GAMs are straightforward to implement and run quickly. We therefore made the decision to swap LGCPs for GAMs. As the DiSARM pipeline has been built in a modular way, swapping out LGCPs for alternative modelling approaches was straightforward.

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The point behind the clicker up was to demonstrate two things; one of them was...

November 2016

Clicker + Dashboard

The point behind the clicker up was to demonstrate two things; one of them was to start with a very simple way to collect coordinates of structures which had been sprayed, as well as demonstrate the real time nature of the mobile app.

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Using log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models, implemented using R-INLA, we showed it was possible to...

November 2016

Automated risk modelling is working

Using log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models, implemented using R-INLA, we showed it was possible to model passive surveillance case data (geolocated back to household and classified as locally acquired) from Swaziland to produce monthly smoothed maps of predicted incidence.

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In Swaziland, the surveillance and decision support platform was utilised to create an automated intervention...

August 2016

Automated creation of risk and structures-to-spray maps for Swaziland IRS 2016

In Swaziland, the surveillance and decision support platform was utilised to create an automated intervention mapping process, which was done by hand in previous years.

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We want to use DiSARM to remove as many of the technical barriers as possible,...

June 2016

Built first version of the 'pipeline'

We want to use DiSARM to remove as many of the technical barriers as possible, making it easy to use data and information that’s already been collected. The automated risk modelling and mapping approach was a really important start, but we needed a way to make that process run regularly on its own, gathering the inputs it needs, and creating the full range of outputs needed, and avoiding the need to have R expertise to run the models.

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The Core interface is designed to let users start to view and explore the outputs...

June 2016

Building the 'Core interface'

The Core interface is designed to let users start to view and explore the outputs from DiSARM’s processing. It initially focuses on the risk maps, and includes some examples of simple analysis.

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After we built some of the initial kind of risk maps for each country. We...

May 2016

Built prototype of mobile, offline risk maps

After we built some of the initial kind of risk maps for each country. We took one static risk map for both Swaziland and Zimbabwe and built a tiny little demonstration app that loads up through a website.

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